Spatio-Temporal Dynamics in Disease Ecology and Epidemiology
Shigui Ruan, Department of Mathematics, University of Miami (October 14, 2011)
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We develop spatial models of vector-borne disease dynamics on a network of patches to examine how the movement of humans in heterogeneous environments affects transmission. We show that the movement of humans between patches is sufficient to maintain disease persistence in patches with zero transmission. We construct two classes of models using different approaches: (i) Lagrangian that mimics human commuting behavior and (ii) Eulerian that mimics human migration. We determine the basic reproduction number R0 for both modeling approaches and study the transmission dynamics in terms of R0. We also study the dependence of R0 on some parameters such as the travel rate of the infectives.