Intrinsic Linkages in Dynamic Multistate Populations

Robert Schoen (June 24, 2013)

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Abstract

The Intrinsic Linkage approach assumes a linear relationship between a population's age/ state composition, the dominant (intrinsic) component of the projection matrix that moves that population forward, and the resultant population composition. Here, that approach is extended to multistate models, and new relationships are developed to determine population growth and state composition. Under Intrinsic Linkage, a population can be analytically projected to any future point from knowledge of the linkage parameter(s) and the dominant component of the population projection matrices. Illustrative examples show how population values vary with the linkage parameter, how cyclical models can be specified, and how the approach can synthesize cohort analyses.